Archive for 2030

IEA: Global-warming gases set to rise by 57 percent by 2030

November 9, 2007 at 8:10 pm · Filed under 2030

The International Energy Agency as published a study which explains that emissions of greenhouse gases will rise by 57 percent by 2030 compared to current levels (oh, and by the way, we are finally settled in Australia!)

AFP via yahoo!: The IPCC said that in order to limit the average increase in global temperatures to 2.4 C (4.3 F) — the most optimistic of any scenario — the concentration of greenhouse gases would have to stabilise at 450 parts per million (ppm) of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere.

To achieve this goal, CO2 emissions would have to peak by 2015 at the latest, then fall by between 50 and 85 percent by 2050, the panel.

But the IEA’s World Energy Outlook report saw no peak in emissions before 2020.

To achieve the 450ppm target would mean that CO2 from energy sources would have to peak by 2012, which in turn would require a massive drive in energy efficiency and a switch to non-fossil fuels, the report said.

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CO2 reduction roundup: ambitious goals (30.05.2007)

May 30, 2007 at 8:10 am · Filed under 2020, 2030, 2050+, CO2 reduction

In the last few days there have been some announcements regarding CO2 reduction (at least promises).

Japan: The Japanese Prime Minister calls for a 50 % cut in global greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, Sweden targets a 30 % reduction in greenhouse gases by 2030 and India says it will reduce greenhouse gas emissions by more than 25% by 2020.

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China considering 20 fold increase in nuclear power by 2030 (28.05.2007)

May 28, 2007 at 8:27 am · Filed under 2030, Nuclear Power

We all know, China is a power hungry country. And: China doesn´t have many oil resources. That´s the reason there are Chinese oil expedition everywhere, competing with American oil companies. So, how to satisfy the Chinese hunger for power? One plan: Increase nuclear power resources – not just a few more power plants but by the factor 20!

The National Development and Reform Commission, which administers China’s energy policy, aims to increase nuclear power generation to between 120 million and 160 million kilowatts, the official said during a speech at a strategic energy forum held in Beijing, which was sponsored by the Chinese Construction Ministry.

Yomiuri , Japan: At present, China has 10 nuclear reactors, which are capable of generating 8 million kilowatts. China has previously announced that it wanted to up nuclear power output to 40 million kilowatts by the end of 2020.

To attain its goal under the new plan, China would need to build in excess of 100 nuclear reactors, each capable of generating 1 million kilowatts, over 20 years. If the plan is realized, China would become the world’s largest generator of nuclear power, surpassing Japan, France and the United States.

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US EIA: World Energy Use to Grow 57% till 2030; CO2 Emissions Up 59% (24.05.2007)

May 24, 2007 at 9:43 am · Filed under 2030, Oil-Gas-Coal

The Energy Information Adminsitration (EIA) has published a new “Energy Outlook 2007“. There are several reference cases which do not include any specific policies to limit greenhouse gas emissions. However, this paper is an interesting read, especially the facts and estimates on the energy sector and the different fossil fuels.

Green Car Congress:In the IEO2007 reference case, which does not include specific policies to limit greenhouse gas emissions, energy-related carbon dioxide emissions are projected to rise from 26.9 billion metric tons in 2004 to 33.9 billion metric tons in 2015 and 42.9 billion metric tons in 2030. From 2003 to 2004, carbon dioxide emissions from the non-OECD countries grew by almost 10%, while emissions in the OECD countries grew by less than 2%.

The result of the large increase in non-OECD emissions was that 2004 marked the first time that emissions from the non-OECD exceeded those from the OECD countries. Further, because of the expectation that non-OECD countries will rely on fossil fuels to supply much of their future energy demand growth, carbon dioxide emissions from the non-OECD countries in 2030 are projected to exceed those from the OECD by 57%.

Global energy demand grows despite the relatively high world oil and natural gas prices in the reference case. However, rising oil prices dampen growth in demand for petroleum and other liquids fuels after 2015 and, as a result, reducing their share of overall energy use from 38% in 2004 to a projected 34% in 2030.

>> Energy Outlook 2007 – Full report (PDF)

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